DG Finances

TSLA

Tesla, Inc.

Tesla Holds the $365 Reclaim Into Weekly Expiry

Tesla closed $366.20, up 2.3%, after tagging $374.12. Premarket is bid another 0.6% near $368. Goldman’s 435k Q3 delivery cut is still on the tape, offset by a Forum Mobility truck-charging deal and Cybercab’s Hong Kong showcase through Sep 20.

Close $366.20 +8.12 (+2.27%)Premarket $368.20 +0.55%

15-Minute Chart

Intraday · Sep 16

4-Hour Chart

Swing · May – Sep

Key Levels (15-Min)

Resistance	$368.00 – $370.00	Premarket / call OI
	$374.00 – $376.00	Thursday high
	$380.00 – $390.00	Breakout zone
Support	$365.00 – $366.20	Immediate / close
	$363.00 – $363.22	Session low
	$357.50 – $360.00	Max pain

Key Levels (4-Hour)

Resistance	$374.00 – $376.00	Near-term supply
	$380.00 – $390.00	Major resistance
	$420.00 – $445.00	Long-term target
Support	$357.00 – $365.00	Immediate / pin
	$348.00 – $355.00	Rising MA / base
	$297.00 – $310.00	Long-term support

Trade Plan

Intraday

Look for support at $365 – $366
Potential bounce to $370 – $374
If below $363, next support $357.50 – $360

Swing

Watch for a sustained hold above $365
A breakout above $374 could target $380 – $390
Below $357.50 would weaken the setup toward $348

Options

Sep 18 weekly

Max Pain

$357.50+$8.70 vs close

Exp. move: ±$10.05 (2.8%)
Range: $356 – $376
P/C OI: 0.79
Walls: $370 / $350

Weekly max pain $357.50 is $9 below the close. Nearby magnet is $360 (heavy put+call OI). Call OI stacks at $370 then $380/$400. Expected move $356–$376. A pin toward $360 is the fade; holding $365 keeps $374 in play.

Current Bias

Cautiously Bullish

The $365 reclaim held into the close and premarket is still bid. Expiry gravity at $357.50–$360 is the counter. Defend $365 and the path is a retest of $374; lose $363 and dealers can walk it to the pin.

Catalysts to Watch

Cybercab Hong Kong showcase (Sep 17–20)
Q3 delivery print vs. Goldman’s 435k cut
NHTSA probe into driverless Cybercab
Oct 28 earnings and full-year delivery guide
Friday weekly options expiry — pin vs. $365

PLTR

Palantir Technologies

Karp on AI Liability as Palantir Holds $176

Palantir closed $176.24, up 1.1%, after tagging $177.88. Premarket is flat near $176. CEO Alex Karp told CNBC AI labs may need to be nationalized to cap liability. UBS’s $250 target is still the Street high; a director sold 16,000 shares overnight.

Close $176.24 +1.90 (+1.09%)Premarket $176.14 -0.06%

15-Minute Chart

Intraday · Sep 16

4-Hour Chart

Swing · May – Sep

Key Levels (15-Min)

Resistance	$176.50 – $178.00	Thursday high
	$180.00 – $182.00	Call wall
	$186.00 – $188.00	Breakout zone
Support	$174.50 – $176.00	Immediate
	$172.50 – $172.61	Session low
	$168.50 – $171.00	Major support

Key Levels (4-Hour)

Resistance	$180.00 – $188.00	Near-term supply
	$190.00 – $200.00	Major resistance
	$205.00 – $210.00	Long-term target
Support	$165.00 – $172.00	Immediate
	$155.00 – $160.00	Max pain / base
	$140.00 – $150.00	Long-term support

Trade Plan

Intraday

Look for support at $174.50 – $176
Potential bounce to $178 – $180
If below $172.61, next support $171 – $165

Swing

Watch for a sustained hold above $176
A breakout through $180 could target $186 – $200
Below $165 would weaken the setup toward $160

Options

Sep 18 weekly

Max Pain

$160+$16.24 vs close

Exp. move: ±$3.95 (2.2%)
Range: $172 – $180
P/C OI: 0.84
Walls: $180 / $160

Spot is $16 above Friday max pain ($160) — too far to pin. Expected move $172–$180, with the $180 call wall as dealer supply. Next week’s max pain is $172.50, closer to spot.

Current Bias

Cautiously Bullish

Structure is a higher low off $172.61 with the close above $176. Karp’s liability comments are noise unless they slow commercial AI spend. The tell is $180 — through it, the UBS $250 case stays alive; lose $172.61 and yesterday’s bounce was just a range high.

Catalysts to Watch

Follow-through on Karp’s CNBC liability / nationalization comments
Nvidia partnership and sovereign-AI / FAA deployments
Surf Air OperatorOS contract powered by Palantir
Commercial pipeline vs. delivery capacity; Form 4 selling
Nov 2 earnings and UBS $250 vs. Street ~$197

HOOD

Robinhood Markets

SEC Tokenization Exemption Fuels Squeeze Through $110

Robinhood closed $109.81, up 5.2%, after the SEC issued a five-year “Innovation Exemption” letting tokenized stocks trade despite the CLARITY Act stall. Premarket is another 2.8% bid near $113, already through Thursday’s $110.55 high.

Close $109.81 +5.39 (+5.16%)Premarket $112.84 +2.76%

15-Minute Chart

Intraday · Sep 16

4-Hour Chart

Swing · May – Sep

Key Levels (15-Min)

Resistance	$112.80 – $114.20	Premarket high
	$115.00 – $116.40	Sep 14 supply
	$122.00 – $125.00	Breakout zone
Support	$109.80 – $110.55	Thursday high / close
	$106.00 – $106.08	Max pain / session low
	$101.50 – $102.00	Sep 16 low

Key Levels (4-Hour)

Resistance	$114.00 – $116.00	Near-term supply
	$122.00 – $125.00	Major resistance
	$135.00 – $150.00	Long-term target
Support	$106.00 – $110.00	Immediate
	$101.00 – $104.00	Major base
	$91.00 – $96.00	Long-term support

Trade Plan

Intraday

Look for support at $110 – $111
Potential extension to $114 – $116
If below $109.81, next support $106

Swing

Watch for a sustained hold above $111
A breakout through $116 could target $125
Below $106 would weaken the setup toward $101.70

Options

Sep 18 weekly

Max Pain

$106+$3.81 vs close

Exp. move: ±$4.49 (4.1%)
Range: $105 – $114
P/C OI: 0.73
Walls: $110 / $106

Premarket ~$113 is already at the top of the $105–$114 expected-move band and through the $110 call wall. Max pain $106 is a fade magnet, not the tape. A hold above $110 into expiry keeps $114–$116 in play.

Current Bias

Cautiously Bullish

We were bearish into Thursday and the tokenization squeeze ran the bounce path instead. Premarket through $110.55 flips the day to buy-the-dip above $110. Legal headlines (former engineers, CFO Form 4) are secondary until $106 fails.

Catalysts to Watch

SEC Innovation Exemption — tokenized stocks, five-year relief
DOJ case against former engineers; CFO share sale
HOOD Summit — Houston, Sep 29–30
Prediction-markets / event-contract follow-through
Friday weekly expiry — $106 pin vs. $110 hold

SPCX

Space Exploration Technologies

Flight 14 Slips to Sept 28; SPCX Holds $155 Anyway

SpaceX closed $154.81, up 2.6%, even after pushing Starship Flight 14 from Sep 22 to Sep 28 pending regulatory approval. Premarket is another 0.5% bid near $155.60, still testing September supply.

Close $154.81 +3.93 (+2.61%)Premarket $155.62 +0.52%

15-Minute Chart

Intraday · Sep 16

4-Hour Chart

Swing · Jun – Sep

Key Levels (15-Min)

Resistance	$155.50 – $156.90	Thursday high
	$160.00 – $162.00	Call wall
	$170.00 – $176.00	Breakout zone
Support	$153.00 – $155.00	Immediate
	$152.50 – $152.63	Session low
	$148.00 – $151.00	Prior breakout

Key Levels (4-Hour)

Resistance	$155.00 – $157.00	Near-term supply
	$170.00 – $176.00	IPO-week supply
	$200.00 – $226.00	ATH zone
Support	$148.00 – $153.00	Immediate
	$130.00 – $135.00	50-day / Aug 20 low
	$105.00 – $115.00	August crash low

Trade Plan

Intraday

Look for support at $153 – $155
Potential extension to $157 – $160
If below $152.63, next support $148 – $151

Swing

Watch for a sustained hold above $155
A breakout through $160 could target $170 – $176
Below $148 would weaken the setup toward $135

Options

Sep 18 weekly

Max Pain

$146+$8.81 vs close

Exp. move: ±$7.00 (4.5%)
Range: $148 – $162
P/C OI: 0.85
Walls: $160 / $150

Spot $155 is 6% above max pain $146 — pin is weak with Flight 14 now Sep 28. Call wall $160 is the next supply; put wall $150 is the first fail. Expected move $148–$162.

Current Bias

Cautiously Bullish

A launch delay that does not sell off is constructive. Structure is a higher low off $152.63 sitting on $155. Hold that into expiry and $160 is the next test. Lose $152.63 and the delay finally shows up in the tape.

Catalysts to Watch

Starship Flight 14 window — now Sep 28, pending FAA
First revenue Starship flight — production Starlink V3
Regulatory close-out after the Sep 22 slip
CFO comments on compute deals vs. the $100B ARR goal
Lock-up overhang and float after the June 12 IPO

NFLX

Netflix, Inc.

Wells Fargo Cuts to Underweight, $57 Target; NFLX Slides 3%

Netflix closed $75.31, down 1.4% for a third straight loss, then Wells Fargo downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight and cut its target to $57 from $80, citing “worrying” engagement. Premarket is off another 3.2% near $72.90 — already through the $75 put wall.

Close $75.31 -1.10 (-1.44%)Premarket $72.92 -3.17%

15-Minute Chart

Intraday · Sep 16

4-Hour Chart

Swing · May – Sep

Key Levels (15-Min)

Resistance	$75.30 – $75.50	Thursday low / put wall
	$76.30 – $76.96	Thursday high
	$77.00 – $80.30	Max pain / Monday high
Support	$72.50 – $73.00	Premarket / August base
	$71.00 – $71.80	July shelf
	$67.60 – $68.95	52-week low zone

Key Levels (4-Hour)

Resistance	$75.00 – $77.00	Near-term supply
	$80.00 – $83.00	Major resistance
	$88.00 – $94.00	Street / May supply
Support	$71.00 – $73.00	Immediate
	$67.60 – $68.95	July crash low
	$65.00 – $67.00	52-week low zone

Trade Plan

Intraday

Look for support at $72.50 – $73
Potential bounce to $75.30 – $75.50
If below $72.50, next support $71 – $71.80

Swing

Watch for a sustained reclaim of $75, then $77
A breakout could target $80 – $83
Below $71 would weaken the setup toward $68

Options

Sep 18 weekly

Max Pain

$77−$1.69 vs close

Exp. move: ±$1.64 (2.2%)
Range: $73.70 – $77
P/C OI: 0.54
Walls: $80 / $75

Premarket ~$73 is already below the $73.70–$77 expected-move floor and $4 under max pain $77. The $75 put wall is now resistance. Pin to $77 is dead unless the open reclaims $75.

Current Bias

Bearish

Three down days, a Wells Underweight at $57, and premarket through the put wall. $72.50–$73 is the first bid; a loss of $71 opens the July $68 base. Need $75 back, then $77, before this is anything but a bounce in a downtrend.

Catalysts to Watch

Wells Fargo Underweight / $57 target — follow-through
Q3 earnings — Oct 20 after the close
Engagement trends vs. live-sports / ad-tier growth
Evercore $110 Outperform vs. Wells $57
Friday weekly expiry — $77 pin failed; $75 now resistance